[I agree with the open source databases vs mssql part, i don't have comments on the other things]
10.MySQL / PostgrSQL / Firebird threatens MS SQL Server. SQL Server is the one division that showed a modest profit in 2004, but many database professionals are switching Open Source alternatives. Even though sales for SQL Server is growing, it is growing at a slower rate than the overall market.
Read more at toorg.blogspot.com/2006...
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